The consumer cost of the iPhone

4 Comments
Everyone is all abuzz, as they always are, about Apple's latest product news, in this case the $199 3G iPhone. As expected, the focus is on the price: $199 for an iPhone! What a deal!

Yet it's not that great a deal. The entry price has been lowered but not the true cost. Of course, Apple and AT&T know this; it's the foundation of the cellular industry, and AT&T Wireless is happy to exploit it here.

Full disclosure: I am a wildly satisfied iPhone owner. I'm not buying the new one, though, in part due to the economics. Here's why.

The current (now previous) iPhone cost $399 for the device and $20 per month for a required AT&T Wireless data plan. Over the life of a two-year (24-month) contract, the total cost of ownership amounts to

399 + (24 x 20) = $879

This number excludes taxes, regulatory fees and marginal inflationary adjustments, but it's an accurate gauge of what Apple and AT&T get from the consumer across two years.

For the new phone, the price drops to $199, but the monthly data fee has risen to $30. Sounds small, but over the course of two years, guess what?

199 + (24 x 30) = $919

By the end of two years, total cost of ownership for the new phone is actually higher for the half-price iPhone. Apple managed to get monstrous press coverage of its $199 price point with little mention of the data charge, which substantially affects the equation.

Now, I'm obviously simplifying a conversation with many other variables. (For example, over two years, "real cost" including inflation and float may benefit the monthly plan; people who renew contracts in less than two years have altered ownership costs; etc.) But my point is simply put: list price and true cost are not the same, and the 3G iPhone is no cheaper than its predecessor.

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4 Comments
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Oh come on, David. $40 bucks difference amortized over 2 years? What do you think the difference will be over that span of time in terms of you waiting to download data over EDGE instead of the (3x faster) 3G? What's your time worth?

You know you're buying one. Just admit it.
I'm not, actually. Still happy with my 11-month-old original. Besides, Apple's third round is always the impressive one. Remember the second-generation iPod? Yecch.

And again, my point is not that the $40 additional isn't worth it; it's that the "$199 cheep!" iPhone will ultimately cost its buyers more than the seemingly costlier $399 one.
Since I've been lazy about posting and this post is still at the top, I'll leave another comment:

They actually went over this math on MacBreak Weekly - the suggestion is to take the difference on the up front price, and invest it in Apple stock. They project you should be able to make more than $40 on it in 2 years, leaving you in the black.