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Knowing your audience

The little coffee shop on West 21st Street has, dangling under its potato chip rack, a row of flip-flops.

I pointed to them today as I bought my pretzels. "Sell a lot of flip-flops?" I asked the owner, an affable woman who's always manning the register.

"You know, we open sometimes on Saturday nights, when the weather's cool," she explained to me. "And all the clubs around here, they don't let women in wearing flats. So all these girls come out after wearing their heels all night, and they say to me, 'Do you have flip-flops? I'd pay anything for a pair of flip-flops!'

"So, we got some flip-flops. I know how they feel--I once spent $20 on flip-flops after a night like that. But they're all college girls, you know? I don't want to rip them off, so I just charge five dollars."

Have your customers voiced unexpected needs to you? How are you solving their problems?

The [noun]

OK, Mr. or Mrs. Consumer, riddle me this.hutshack.pngWhich of the above buildings sells pizzas, and which sells radios?

I ask because of some aggressive and misguided rebranding efforts going on by major retail chains. In an effort to both be trendy and transcend an existing identity, they're seizing the playful halves of their names and marketing around them.

Which sounds great, until you take them out of context.

Pizza Hut thinks its consumers already use "the Hut" as shorthand, so they've embraced it as a marketing initiative. That's fine enough, but it doesn't scale. The Hut doesn't mean anything if it's not related to mealtime and pizza, and it won't catch the eye of someone looking for food.

Meanwhile, Radio Shack has decided to do the same thing. They, too, say their shortened "the Shack" is used by devoted fans, and that the name is more trustworthy than the official brand. Except, erm, it really isn't.

When does a nickname imply trust? When it comes from a customer, it says, "I go here all the time," which can be construed as, "I trust their products." When it comes from the corporate mouth, the message is, "You should be my friend," not, "You can trust me." It feels entirely different.

But my biggest complaint is with the brand identity these nicknames create. Not only are the messages missing their mark, but they've gone so far as to become more or less identical. What do they mean? Tell your coworker, "I'm going to the shack and the hut at lunch," and see what happens.

I'm all for nicknames; my coworkers have several for me (and probably a few that I don't know about). But the best ones are descriptive and add warmth and depth to the thing they describe. Shacks and huts, for all their marketing efforts, don't really do that.

Meet the new ecomm?

Ecommerce startup Alice got some nice business press last week around the launch of its site.

The concept, say the founders, is a novel one: they're acting as a clearinghouse for CPG products, and compiling consumer data to share back with manufacturers. Rather than buy wholesale and sell at retail, Alice is only a platform, taking a fee for sales. Manufacturers control the pricing, and the fees pay for across-the-board free shipping.

On the surface, this sounds like an innovation. But is it really so different from what has come before? Amazon has a wealth of services designed to let companies sell direct to consumers, aggregate data, and defer shipping responsibilities--just like Alice.

Other not-quite-a-third-party structures have been attempted online, too, just not with exactly this structure. Consider Gloss, which was a "brand neutral" ecommerce site owned by three different cosmetics companies. Gloss.com operated as an independent entity, with the three owners paying relative shares of the operating costs (and the profit, theoretically). Sounds a lot like Alice, just with a different ownership structure.

Alice is a novel approach to retailing as an ecommerce site; the UI has lots of interesting details that will be reviewed here shortly. But the business model, while clever, is less than all-new.

Methodology of a website critique

After speaking at Internet Retailer, I got several follow-up questions about how I reviewed websites on the fly. It's a great question, and rather than tuck it into an email or Twitter @reply, I thought I'd share it here.

Critiquing a website on stage is a unique endeavor. What it largely comes down to is playing to the strengths of one's co-presenters. Ethan Giffin, with whom I've presented before, focuses on conversion, looking at buttons and sales opportunities. Craig Smith quickly established his interest in SEO and search. That left me free to discuss information architecture and messaging, which are my own strong suits.

I'm not sure IRCE knew it had such a balanced team, but the result was a great rat-a-tat dissection of the sites we saw, with minimal overlap and dissent. Last time around, Ethan and I, and our third presenter, agreed with each other a lot; this time, the three of us carved out niches and took turns presenting ideas. We were all pleased with how it went.

Offstage, the process is a bit different. Ai does competitive reviews that encapsulate my criteria in painstaking detail--we often have more than 100 fields, laid out in a spreadsheet, to consider for each site. Our research categories are arranged as follows:

  • Branding and design: The first step is to consider whether a site is properly conveying its brand message. How polished is the design? Is the color scheme appropriate to the company and its target audiences? Are page layouts consistent and brand imagery persistent as one moves through the site? We also look at copy, and gauge how effectively the site is speaking to users, on everything from headlines to buttons to page text.
  • Navigation and ease of use: This is the core of Ai's user experience focus. We gauge how intuitive and logical a website is, and make sure that performing essential tasks is easy to execute. Objectively, we check navigation bars, page widths, pop-up windows and the like; subjectively, we look at UX on a more holistic level, to see how well the site performs.
  • Content: This varies by site type. For ecommerce sites (like the ones discussed at IR) we focus on product pages, and we run them through a robust checklist. How big are images, and are they manipulable? Is essential information easy to parse? Are important functions above the fold? What supplemental features, like reviews and technical specifications, are available? For content-driven sites, the focus shifts to hierarchies, layouts, and so forth.
  • Conversion: How well does a site seal the deal? We count steps in checkout, complexities in form data, and identify whether customer service is readily available. We also look at up-sell, cross-sell and shipping displays, each of which can be an opportunity or a deterrent to people in the conversion funnel.
  • Intangibles: There's actually a field on our spreadsheet called "Vibe," where we give our overall impressions of what the site is saying to its users. This is a vital component of our process. No critique can be completely objective; each site has a distinct audience to which it speaks, and our job is to assess how well the message will be received by the site's target segments. We also gauge the overall experience of exploring the site, and we actually overweight these two fields to give UX the proper amount of influence in our research.
Whew! There's a lot to cover to critique a site in depth. Our most recent competitive review spreadsheet spanned more than 1500 fields. It's a smart way to learn the landscape, though--and when the spotlight is trained on one site, a similar-minded critique is a great way to assess a site.

Transactional intelligence

Ai's fundamental strategic principle revolves around transactional intelligence. We take the basic truth of ecommerce--that every customer is a potential sale--and apply the same theory to each user that may visit a site.

On a high-performing ecommerce site, roughly 10 percent of users complete a purchase. What, then, of the other 90 percent? A portion of them may be lost sales, but the rest surely came to the site to achieve something.

Our goal, then, is to achieve as high a rate of successful transactions as we can, regardless of whether those transactions are financial. Should a user just want to know a company's phone number, or to find out color and size options, that goal will be easily achieved and considered a success if the user leaves the site satisfied. Those moments create brand awareness and lead to long-term sales and customer relationships.

This theory readily applies to our non-ecommerce projects, too. Users visit sites to read, learn, get contact information, send emails, look at photos, download files, socialize with others. ... Each site has its own set of achievable goals. By defining what these goals are, we can apply the same transactional sensibility to them, ana aim for high success rates across the board.

Ai has a full slate of projects right now, ranging from ecommerce to hybrid sites (content and commerce, community and commerce) to sites without a financial component at all. Our approach works across the spectrum, bringing transactional intelligence to each of them. Defining the opportunities makes each project unique while leveraging ecommerce best practices to make a website as effective as it can be.

How businesses must react to information flows

The online-offline impact of user experience is vital in today's economy, and nowhere is it more apparent than in the travel industry. I experienced the best and worst of it on a recent business trip, and the learnings I encountered were enlightening.

Airlines, like many other businesses, have become accustomed to controlling the information flow. Curious about gates, seats, flight times, or other details? They'll tell you when they're ready to tell you. But the Internet has changed that, and continuing improvements in ease-of-use and access have forever changed the game.

Organizations today need to be as aware as their consumers of data streams and information sources. They need to be proactive and accommodating. Consumers want their needs addressed by people who are as informed as they are. The alternative--the old way--can be galling.

My Story

Here's what happened to me: I had a trip planned from New York to San Francisco, originating at JFK on a 6 p.m. flight. My departure day was filled with weather-related delays. Morning flights were taking off more than three hours late, although they were pushing out from the gate on time, leading to "on time departure" proclamations by the airlines.

When I checked my flight status around 2 p.m. my airline's website declared my flight was on time. Skeptical, I checked the condition of JFK on faa.gov, which revealed five-hour ground delays due to weather. But the airline's website begged to differ, so I called the airline directly.

On the phone, the customer service representative repeated the flight's on-time status. I asked her to investigate the difference between the airline's estimates and the FAA's. She put me on an extended hold. While waiting, I checked my flight status on the airline's website again, and discovered my flight had been canceled!

When the rep returned to the line, I asked for alternate arrangements. She told me the airline was filled to capacity and couldn't honor my Monday ticket until Wednesday, which would ruin my trip. The rep referred me back to the airline's website to edit my plans, but the site declared my flight ineligible for a weather-related refund. At the same time, the rep on the phone put me back on hold to look for other options, and wound up disconnecting my call. The airline had stranded me in two different communication paths.

I ultimately booked a flight on another airline for the next day (at more than twice the price). An hour or so later, I was able to get a refund from the original airline's website.

Nearly two hours after I discovered my flight delay, and 90 minutes after I rebooked my flight, I received an automated message on my home phone advising me of the canceled flight. I almost screamed in frustration.

The game has changed

An airline's only real differentiator is service. JetBlue stands out for its leather seats and TVs; Virgin for its hip, knowing accoutrements; Southwest for its easygoing, cheeky demeanor. But every airline has the same base concerns: comfortable flights, timely service and good communication.

What does my recent experience say about my first airline's service orientation? Aside from the obvious--that the airline has some serious internal issues to resolve--I spotted several lessons that can be applied to all businesses, not just the airlines.

  • Businesses no longer control information flow. A smart company will accept this and learn to work with it. Whether it's me looking at faa.gov or consumers Twittering issues amongst themselves, news and facts about a company's offerings are no longer dictated solely by the public relations staff. Companies that insist on rigid lines of communication will find themselves outsmarted by savvy consumers and disparaged by uninformed ones.
  • Nimble trumps rigid. My airline couldn't put me on an alternate flight within two days of my original plans, and it never considered putting me on another airline and sharing my revenue. My company's travel service couldn't find a replacement in its system for under $1000. Yet I booked myself on Virgin Atlantic, via its website, within minutes for far less. The folks looking to me as a customer could not help me spend my money with them, because their basic systems didn't allow flexible thinking.
  • Responsiveness is everything. Two hours to inform me about a canceled flight is unacceptable. Losing my customer service phone call and not calling me back is, in this circumstance, unacceptable. The airline's website not acknowledging my canceled flight? Unacceptable. Discerning consumers will avoid companies that make these kinds of mistakes. Firms that get communication right--on time, proactive, and helpful--will win.
Commercial airlines are in a unique industry with unique problems, but their customer service concerns are universal. Any business that communicates with its customers--which is every business--can find clever ways to improve by watching the airlines manage a crisis.



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The clever twist

I've spent the morning fascinated by Swoopo, a new (to the US, at least) online auction site, which is both more and less innovative than its peers--and a great business model case study.

The site turns eBay's successful auction model on its ear. eBay uses fixed-duration auctions, free bids, and sellers' fees for revenue. Swoopo, in contrast, sells bids to buyers, who then bid in 15-cent increments on products. If an item gets a bid in the final 15 seconds, the end time is extended, giving other bidders a chance to dive back in.

This is at once radically different--from eBay--yet more similar to the traditional auction business. In the real world, auctions don't stop short at 10:13:32; they go until the high bidder has outlasted the competition. Swoopo allows this to happen.

Placing the operating-cost burden on buyers is a shift as well. With bids costing 75 cents each, buyer aggressiveness is artifically limited; the multiple bids required to win a typical auction raise the final cost to the winning bidder. Interestingly, competing (losing) bids help subsidize the winning buyer, which may deflate prices.

The open-ended auction timing is what fascinates me most. I watched a Playstation 3 controller auction on the Swoopo home page ratchet up from $23 to nearly $41, all in 15-cent increments, for several minutes before the auction ended. Sniping is eliminated, and in its place is a tense few minutes and frequent page refreshes. And, most likely, a handful of additional bids, each adding 75 cents to Swoopo's bottom line.

Swoopo has a remarkably clever (or truly wicked) business concept. It's also beautifully timed. As eBay evolves away from auctions, the market is probably ready for a savvy competitor to nibble away at market share.

Expect several Swoopo (and eBay) competitors to appear in the next year or two, all with new twists on the auction model. And keep a watchful eye on eBay, which may or may not realize that its auctions, while slowing in growth, are the make-or-break business proposition of its flagship.

Update: this write-up of Swoopo is worth reading, as it notes the clever (if insidious) model behind the business, and also exposes some of Swoopo's questionable business practices, which I hadn't caught on first observation. "It's not clear that Swoopo even has the items they auction; they appear to sell first, then use the money they gain from the completed auction to buy and ship the item. Furthermore, they have a clause in their Help under Delivery and Shipping that lets them ship 'equivalent' items." The post later calls Swoopo "pure, distilled evil," which may be pushing it a bit, but point well taken.



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Online sales and the economy

The latest news from the world of ecommerce is that the weekend was much better online than it was elsewhere. Sales rose 13% on ComScore's Black Friday-through-Cyber Monday annual index--not a huge number in online terms, but strikingly robust when compared with the overall 4% retail decline in November.

Some tips for ecommerce sites looking to maintain the pace through Christmas:

Compete on price. Ugly, and the last thing I usually recommend, but when the New York Times is running 1000-word articles on coupons, penny-saving is a mainstream fact. Use discounts and promo codes to make customers comfortable with your price points.

Accommodate. Comfort levels are always a differentiator: extended return policies, prepaid shipping labels, and custom order requests will make people feel good about buying from you.

Don't run scared. In this environment, customers are getting skeptical of sites with continual "Buy today!" come-ons. Maintain a consistent voice and use promotions in the typical manner, so people aren't spooked away from completing a transaction.

As mentioned previously, a successful, happy purchase now can lead to low-cost repeat business leads in 2009. Despite today's challenges, retailers must avoid sacrificing the future.



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Update: new iPhone pricing plans

AT&T has officially detailed its 3G iPhone pricing, and it's actually a bit worse than I noted last month.

The cost of data has gone up $10/month, as previously discussed. What I forgot to include was the loss of free text messaging--current owners get 200 SMS messages included in their $20 data plan. Now those 200 texts cost an extra five bucks.

Redoing the comparison, what I had outlined as

Old: 399 + (24 x 20) = $879
versus
New: 199 + (24 x 30) = $919

is, for users interested in the same level of access, actually

New: 199 + (24 x (30 + 5)) = $1039

Sure, the price increase includes the upgrade to 3G service, which can rightly be considered a premium. But the pricing strategy feels almost bait-and-switch-esque in its execution. They're trumpeting a $200 savings in the price of the phone, yet users are paying $160 more for usage.

Ironically, what is classified as a win for the mobile phone industry--Apple's moving to a subsidy model to make its prices more attractive--ultimately leaves AT&T with a horrible jack-up-the-prices publicity nightmare on its hands.

See you when the third-gen comes out in '09.

Update: AT&T is not raising data rates on original iPhones with new activations, suggesting that the 3G network is the justification of the price bump. Well, that and the fact that they already made their money on the profit split of the initial iPhone sale.



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Opportunity Cost

You have to focus. Doing one thing really, really well is infinitely better than doing many things merely adequately. That means selectively choosing which activities to engage in. This is true whether it's a business or a private individual doing the choosing.

In business, doing everything ensures mediocrity. This rule seems to hold true regardless of the size of the business. As companies like Yahoo and Microsoft have found out, as they try to find new horizons to conquer it becomes difficult for them to maintain the compelling nature of their original offerings. Additionally, people have a hard time accepting the company as a business that exists outside of their original space. For example, most people view Microsoft as an operating system and office suite company, or at least a maker of desktop and server applications. Far fewer think of them for their online offerings, such as Office Live or MSN.

I hear a lot of ideas for Internet start-ups, and I see a lot of people making the mistake of trying to do everything. It's gotten to the point that when I hear a pitch for a business that contains a bundle of the currently hip buzzwords ("social networking" is the term du jour), I instinctively start to wonder if there's a real idea in there. It's just too easy to start building an Internet business without establishing the business part.

Sometimes this comes from start-ups comparing themselves to established businesses. They assume that they have to launch with all of Amazon's e-commerce features, all of Google's search capabilities and all of Facebook's social networking features. Not only is this a way to wrack up an enormous development bill, but it won't particularly serve the start-up in the marketplace. The Internet rewards great new ideas, or at least ideas done in a great new way.

So the secret is to not do everything. Strategically choose features not to implement, business areas in which not to engage. If your core idea is good then you'll have a foundation on which to build, and if it's not then all those additional features won't save you anyway.


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Cost of Leadership


Part of leadership is finding the opportunity to lead. Some contexts crave and reward leadership, others do not. Leadership blossoms when it finds fertile ground. (A little spring analogy for you.)

(For the purposes of this post I'm defining leadership pretty broadly. It could be leadership in the context of business, community, technology, professional or academic areas. The sky's the limit.)

It's tempting to shoot for the biggest target; to attempt to establish leadership in the biggest market, in the most popular meme, or the latest craze. However there is a cost to leadership - it takes time, energy and skill (and sometimes money) to lead within a context. The more established that context is, the more of those resources it will require from a leader.

In the web world, for example, the leaders of the biggest segments get a lot of press. Amazon and Ebay are e-commerce leaders. Google is the search leader. Apple is definitely a leader of something, although we're not sure what to call it ("coolness?"...ew...). Notice, however, that these leaders are also giants. Because they operate in such large, well-established spaces, they need to have immense resources in order to maintain their leadership position.

I'd like to propose that the benefit of being a leader follows a kind of "S"-curve. If you look at the graphic, the straight black ascending line represents the amount of investment (time, energy, money) necessary to attain leadership within a context. The red line is the benefit to the leader to hold that position. Notice that there are two places on the graph where the red line exceeds the black line. Those are the sweet spots.

The first spot, on the far right, is the one that gets all the press. This is the geometric value afforded to Amazon, Google and so forth, because they hold a leadership position in a well-known established space. The benefits here are obviously huge. Unfortunately it requires an enormous investment, which is often not an option for smaller companies, or individuals, making it seem like it's an impossible task to get ahead through leadership.

However, there is a second, less noticed sweet spot just left of the middle of the graph. This represents a space in "early adopter" territory. A new idea that is beginning to get some traction, but hasn't yet entered the mainstream is an area where a modest investment in time, energy and perhaps money can yield a significant benefit. One can "hitch their wagon" to the new thing, and become recognized as a leader for doing significant things at a modest scale. For individuals, small companies and organizations this is the acheivable sweet spot.

When the space matures and moves along to the middle of the graph the return on investment of leadership evens out: the idea has entered the mainstream, and the benefits of displaying leadership are no longer attractive in proportion to the amount of investment that has to be made. At this point it's too easy to be accused of just "jumping on the bandwagon", in other words - not a leader.

To sum up, the opportunity for benefit from leadership comes in identifying an idea, meme, technology or whatever that has significant momentum behind it, but isn't quite ready for prime time for non-early adopters. Get involved, make things better somehow, contribute to any surrounding community. The benefit that comes back will exceed the cost of leadership.



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How the Amazing Becomes Merely Adequate


Why is it that things that blew us away a short time ago (last year, last week...) suddenly fade into the background for us today? Why does the thrill leave so suddenly?

The tech industry is particularly terrible in this space. How fast the shiny new (gadget, software, web site) becomes yesterday's news. Did it suddenly do whatever it does less well? Well, no, then it must have been our perceptions that shifted somehow.

The folks at the Chasm Group define features that merely meet the expectations of users as "hygiene". Basically the story goes: you don't get points for good hygiene. You do, however, get points taken away for bad hygiene. Good hygiene is just expected.

The kicker is that what was fabulous and new last year is just hygiene now.

How do features cross this line? Clayton Christensen, author of the Innovator's Dilemna, suggests that features are more compelling when isn't yet sufficiently developed to solve the business problem for which its designed. Every feature upgrade is a huge deal, because it takes the product closer to crossing the line where it can actually address the business problem.

Once it crosses that line, however, the new features become much less interesting. Think Microsoft Word. There are those who feel it was perfect about 10 years ago.

I was thinking about this when I stumbled across the Japanese idea of two kinds of quality (it comes from Total Quality Management):

  1. atarimae hinshitsu: The idea that things will work as they are supposed to (e.g. a pen will write.).
  2. miryokuteki hinshitsu: The idea that things should have an aesthetic quality which is different from "atarimae hinshitsu" (e.g. a pen will write in a way that is pleasing to the writer, and leave behind ink that is pleasing to the reader).
(Above bullets quoted from this wikipedia page).

So maybe there's something here - is it possible that features transition from miryokuteki to atarimae as our perceptions change? Perhaps what had an aesthetic quality yesterday (wow! A graphical user interface!) simply becomes part of the expected behavior today.

My question is really if we can control the speed of the transition. How can we think about how we make stuff to prolong its powers of differentiation? It may not be possible to prolong the "excitement lifespan" of individual features, but an organization that pushes well into the "wow" space will create lasting value in the way they are perceived.



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Technology Intelligence and Business



Why do some business make such smart decisions with technology, and some are so helpless? What's the difference between a business that leverages technology to grow its business, increase its profit margin and out-maneuver the competition, and one that sinks a lot of money down a useless, costly, black hole project?

I'd suggest that alongside intelligence (IQ) and emotional intelligence (EQ) that businesses also sport technology intelligence (TQ). A business' TQ governs its effective use of technology, which in turn has a substantial impact on its effectiveness as a whole.

Here's how I see the five levels of TQ in business:

1. Business Problem: The first step a company takes towards TQ is when they acquire the knowledge to address a specific business problem with technology. This could be hiring developers or an external vendor to write a custom application, or it could simply be the purchase of a system to meet a specific need.

2. Tech Strategy: The second level is where a company stops looking at individual business problems in isolation, and develops a comprehensive tech strategy. At this level, the application of technology to individual business problems is evaluated within the context of the overall strategy.

3. Tech Ecosystem: At the third level, the company is aware of its tech strategy in a larger eco-system of always changing technical trends. The company is sensitive to how the "tech landscape" will affect its internal strategy, whether through availability and cost of personnel, the continuance of particular tech platforms or the development of new ideas and paradigms.

4. Tech Vision: Once aware of the "tech landscape", a company begins to have the opportunity to make strategic decisions based on an understanding of where things are going. A company can purposefully choose where it wants to live on the adoption curve, and then monitor new developments as they work their way down the curve. At this level a company starts to be able to anticipate movement in the landscape before it happens, and can position to get ready for change, and to avoid destructive disruptions.

5. Tech Leadership: At the very highest level of TQ, the company can make change happen in the tech landscape. This very sophisticated understanding involves identifying unfulfilled needs beyond the company that intersect with the company's business, and applying technological solutions to meet them.



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